Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 3.869357 4.134517 4.417363 4.743008 5.109455 5.511298 5.988364
2025-09-14 3.352847 3.705272 4.102988 4.590370 5.179109 5.877606 6.785348
2025-09-21 3.056931 3.449446 3.908434 4.494399 5.237416 6.170281 7.469078
2025-09-28 2.855476 3.273974 3.777024 4.440527 5.316099 6.469770 8.178076
2025-10-05 2.728938 3.173296 3.720735 4.464602 5.483644 6.890729 9.108572
2025-10-12 2.642730 3.112889 3.705421 4.533475 5.709648 7.411497 10.274929
2025-10-19 2.567867 3.059488 3.691801 4.598388 5.930455 7.946990 11.571487
2025-10-26 2.488949 2.994358 3.655812 4.625561 6.093987 8.410932 12.847403
2025-11-02 2.400849 2.911158 3.588573 4.600225 6.171525 8.741365 13.951547
2025-11-09 2.287657 2.788253 3.459026 4.473168 6.075658 8.762298 14.436422
2025-11-16 2.198825 2.694222 3.364473 4.390896 6.042441 8.885904 15.168335
2025-11-23 2.153874 2.657924 3.348801 4.425399 6.201511 9.376181 16.869361
2025-11-30 2.093157 2.600366 3.304211 4.419548 6.305104 9.804511 18.657982
2025-12-07 1.997848 2.491103 3.180254 4.282528 6.171832 9.754759 19.203023
2025-12-14 1.924103 2.409236 3.092337 4.196731 6.120265 9.862547 20.243167
2025-12-21 1.866067 2.347257 3.030593 4.148505 6.130664 10.100435 21.788146
2025-12-28 1.830522 2.315903 3.012693 4.170061 6.270476 10.642802 24.635048
2026-01-04 1.807448 2.301397 3.019075 4.231686 6.491717 11.415196 28.909164
2026-01-11 1.784795 2.286369 3.023523 4.289708 6.711971 12.237097 34.238467
2026-01-18 1.755524 2.260291 3.009313 4.313980 6.866682 12.932005 39.872940
2026-01-25 1.717329 2.219504 2.970080 4.291349 6.921568 13.374936 44.802702
2026-02-01 1.661017 2.149871 2.882584 4.177730 6.773487 13.224311 45.868350
2026-02-08 1.616123 2.096272 2.818909 4.104042 6.705821 13.297099 48.700460